Posted in CDC, Disease Prevention, Education, Free Society, Government Regulations, outcomes, outcomes measurement, Patient Safety, Policy Issues, Poverty, Prevention, Protocols, Uncategorized, Unsettled Science

Modelers Were ‘Astronomically Wrong’ in COVID-19 Predictions, Says Leading Epidemiologist—and the World Is Paying the Price | Jon Miltimore

Three months ago, Dr. John Ioannidis of Stanford University predicted dire social consequences if states enforced social distancing measures to curb a virus scientists didn’t yet understand.

“I feel extremely sad that my predictions were verified,” Ioannidis said in a recent interview with Greek media.

“There are already more than 50 studies that have presented results on how many people in different countries and locations have developed antibodies to the virus,” Ioannidis, a Greek-American physician, told Greek Reporter. “Of course none of these studies are perfect, but cumulatively they provide useful composite evidence. A very crude estimate might suggest that about 150-300 million or more people have already been infected around the world, far more than the 10 million documented cases.”

Ioannidis said medical data suggest the fatality risk is far lower than earlier estimates had led policymakers to believe and “is almost 0%” for individuals under 45 years old. The median fatality rate is roughly 0.25 percent, however, because the risk “escalates substantially” for individuals over 85 and can be as high as 25 percent for debilitated people in nursing homes.

“The death rate in a given country depends a lot on the age-structure, who are the people infected, and how they are managed,” Ioannidis said. “For people younger than 45, the infection fatality rate is almost 0%. For 45 to 70, it is probably about 0.05-0.3%. For those above 70, it escalates substantially…”

“Major consequences on the economy, society and mental health” have already occurred. I hope they are reversible, and this depends to a large extent on whether we can avoid prolonging the draconian lockdowns and manage to deal with COVID-19 in a smart, precision-risk targeted approach, rather than blindly shutting down everything…”

There’s little question that the lock-downs have caused widespread economic, social, and emotional carnage. Evidence that US states that locked down fared better than states that did not is hard to find.

Though not yet certain, the COVID-19 pandemic may well turn out to be another example of central planning gone wrong.

As I previously noted, it’s a sad irony that many of the greatest disasters in modern history—from Stalin’s “kolkhoz” collective farming system to Mao’s Great Leap Forward and beyond—are the result of central planners trying to improve the lot of humanity through coercive action.

“This is not a dispute about whether planning is to be done or not,” Hayek wrote in The Use of Knowledge in Society. “It is a dispute as to whether planning is to be done centrally, by one authority for the whole economic system, or is to be divided among many individuals.”

Source: Modelers Were ‘Astronomically Wrong’ in COVID-19 Predictions, Says Leading Epidemiologist—and the World Is Paying the Price | Jon Miltimore

Posted in Uncategorized

We Hold These Truths to be Self-Evident | James Keena


They turned the world on its head by declaring an abrupt end to the long historical subservience of people to their governments. They proclaimed instead the moral and philosophical basis of an entirely new concept – the sovereign individual. The world was forever changed on July 4th, 1776.

The principles articulated in the Declaration are so simple and so consistent with a clear and objective view of human nature and morality that they resonated not only with 18th Century Americans, but with the huddled masses around the world who yearned to be free of their elitist oppressors.

Some will argue that despite these revolutionary ideas, America never achieved the perfection it aspired to, nor has it ever completely treated all people as coequals in this revolution.

Both arguments are correct. People are imperfect, and are prone to interpreting “truths” imperfectly. But wisdom grows over time if we keep our minds open and commit ourselves to finding truth. Our society is learning that equality must apply to all genders and to all races, or it does not truly apply to anyone.

Posted in Uncategorized

The Benefits of a Free Society during Pandemics | Mises Wire


In this time of crisis, many exclaim how impressed they are by the “swift and decisive” actions by the Chinese regime. Instead of recognizing the abhorrent disrespect for human life, the Chinese response is put forth as an exemplar for combatting a pandemic.These hailers conveniently forget the many weeks of silencing and censorship that preceded the brutal shutting down of the city of Wuhan and the whole Hubei Province. They also turn a blind eye to the nature of hierarchy and bureaucracy, pretending what is needed to choose proper action is simply power and that access to accurate, reliable information is of little concern.
What does this have to do with a virus pandemic? It illustrates the false promises of centralization, which is a costly and inadequate solution that in fact makes a society more vulnerable. The same argument applies whether it is the national defense, centralized education, or the monopoly of the CDC. A centralized command structure offers only a false sense of security.

HayekNone of what is appropriate action during an outbreak or pandemic requires central command. The downsides of centralization in fact make matters worse and is what made us vulnerable to begin with. The many calls for increased centralization, and their outright dismissal of libertarianism and freedom as “impotent,” are fundamentally confused. Rather than being reasonable and rational, these outcries are emotional and contrary to fact. They are but symptoms of the strongman ideology.

Posted in Uncategorized

Watch “2017/02/25: Jordan Peterson: Postmodernism: How and why it must be fought” on YouTube

The doctrine driving the turmoil & destruction in many of our larger cities, cloaked in a banner of pseudo-moralism, has hijacked the legitimate protests over the death of George Floyd. The violence is an unfortunate, yet natural and predictable consequence of the same doctrine which animates the anti-free speech, victim-oppressor narrative cancel-culture which is so pervasive on our universities and on social media. This pernicious philosophy attracts nefarious malcontents from the social Darwinists, the Utopian Socialists, and most reprehensibly the Neo-Marxists.

It is referred to as Postmodernism and the foot soldiers (ANTIFA and others) of this anti-western, anti-individual sovereignty, mob-rule philosophy are being trained in our own universities funded with our tax dollars.